Obsessed with migration Mrs May's
understanding of Brexit has always been excessively pessimistic
You can
tell a lot about a product from the way it is sold
The
Government intends to run a general election campaign to get its
WITHDRAWAL DEAL
THROUGH
PARLIAMENT
and its
TWIN
WEAPONS are APATHY and FEAR
Vote
for this deal and we need never discuss Brexit again! vote it down and we will
run out of water and die.
This
mix of cynicism and hysteria suggests
WE ARE BEING SOLD A FLAWED DEAL.
by
people who never really understood
WHAT BREXIT WAS ABOUT.
Parliamentary critics of the withdrawal plan focus on one fundamental flaw:
THE BACK STOP.
.Once
we leave the EU we get two years of status quo in which to negotiate a
NEW TRADE PACT;
IF WE FAIL,
which
seems likely,we either extend this expensive transition or we enter a dis
agreeable if the
CUSTOMS
ARRANGEMENT
a backstop prison wherein the EU sets the rules
and we have no influence
WE can only walk away if the EU
agrees to it.
The GOVERNMENT insists this is a mere
detail, the kind that only nerds and extremists would care about, and that the
EUROPEANS will act in good faith anyway.
Well, the last few days have
confirmed that we've handed over too much leverage: Spain used a veto threa THEt
to force concessionary language on
GIBRALTER
and the FRENCH implied they were
coming after our
FISH
the back is thus a legitamate
concern and the GOVERNMENT is unwise, in fact rather patronising
to assume
the
VOTERS WON'T CARE
ABOUT IT.
Are we
BORED of
BREXIT,
to
use Jeremy Hunt's witty acronym?
OH ,MAMA YES. but when people say
they want to get BREXIT
"OVER AND DONE
WITH"
they don't necessarily at any
cost.
its more likely to
imply
THAT THEY ARE SICK
OF THE ESTABLISHMENT DRAGGING ITS HEELS AND< LIKE CANNY SHOPPERS IN THE MARKET,
ARE WARY OF ANY DEAL THAT SMELLS LIKE A FUDGE OR A
SELL OUT.
Mrs May's
pledge to "settle" Brexit, to put it past us and move on sounds superficially
attractive, but we all know it's not that simple: there are several years of
trade negotiations ahead, and if thet fail then, thanks to the
BACKSTOP
, we will
be left trapped in the EU's orbit like a dead moon.
This
sounds pretty frightening. Even more frightening than whatever depraved voodoo
ceremony Mrs May conducted in the No10 garden to raise
PROJECT FEAR
from its
grave.
In the past few weeks we have been
told the, if Britain fails to get a deal, we will have power outages, a plummet
in the pound, a house price collapse, flight cancellations, a Mars Bar shortage,
a medicine crisis, the Army on the streets and, this is the latest, less clean
water.
Some of these are based on the real
threat of bottlenecks at Dover, but the correct response from any government (ie
what we pay them to do) would be to reassure the public with competance and
invest for all eventualities.
If a
no-deal Brexit does ruin the country, it will be the fault of a PM who failed to
prepare for it: where is the dramatic expansion of Dover? Where are the
alternative trade routes? The Tory manifesto stated that
NO DEAL WAS BETTER THAN A BAD DEAL
but
now we will get two weeks of being told the complete opposite:
If
Parliament does not sign off on the backstop, innocents could die. It's not just
the EU that is threatening the British unless they agree to its demands. The
Brirtisg Government sounds suspiciously
LIKE IT IS DOING THE SAME.
Mrs May
does, however, have one thing to bribe us with: less immigration. This has
been an obsession throughout her career and she obviously sees the referendum
result almost exclusively through that prism, which explains why she made that
almost her sole red line and was happy to make concessions on so much else that
energises LEAVERS. But while some Britons did vote on immigration alone, the
essential issue of 2016 was the repatriation of
POLITICAL POWER
-power
that could, yes, help control the border but could also revive our
DEMOCRACY
and
REBUILD OUR
ECONOMY.
Mrs May's
understanding of politics, even of the voters, at times seems pessimistic, as if
she has limited faith in human nature and the capabilities of
FREE NATIONS.
This deal is a triumph of low expectations,
delivered at a moment when the sense of possibilities has never been greater.
Her withdrawal deal may yet die the way it has
lived, clouded in misunderstanding of what a large part of the country
wants and how democracies function. Mrs May suggests a television debate with
Jeremy Corbyn. WHY? We know she hates them: she threw away her majority last
year after refusing to go live against Mr Corbyn in a head-to-head. Mr
Corbyn is already committed to voting the deal down, so most of his MPs aren't
up for grabs;the audience at home don't get a vote.
The
proper place for any substantive debate is PARLIAMENT, where the views of around
90 Tories who can't let the backstop issue go
actually matter
This , then, is pure entertainment,
just like the Nick Clegg v Nigel Farage debates of 2014-the difference being
that these two men genuinely passionately believed in the cause they
articulated. As others have noted. Mr Corbyn probably isn't really for Remain
and Mrs May isn't truly for Brexit. Neither salesman believes in the product
theyre pitching.
DAILY TELEGRAPH-TIM
STANLEY-VOTERS CAN SEE THIS IS A BARGAIN
BASEMENT DEAL
* * *
FOLLOW Tim Stanley on Twitter
@timothy stanley; READ MORE at telegraph.co.uk/opinion
TUESDAY 27 November,2018
H.F.1754 |